Friday Financial Five – November 4, 2016

Dan Forbes, GoLocal Contributor

Friday Financial Five – November 4, 2016

Presidential political party and market returns

While it’s tough to prove that a president directly affects market returns, looking at individual presidencies does provide some interesting details. Going back to the Great Depression, Herbert Hoover’s term was the least productive producing a minus 77 percent cumulative return during his presidency. FDR had three terms, the first of which returned over 200 percent. In 1973, Nixon and Ford had the first negative cumulative return since FDR’s second term ended. Reagan’s two terms produced almost 100% return combined and Bill Clinton had two highly productive terms, followed by negative returns during George W. Bush’s tenure. President Obama’s second term is incomplete, but his first term saw returns over 90 percent.

2016 Social Security Trustees’ report

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The Trustees of Social Security and Medicare reviewed the programs and provided a summary of the 2016 annual reports. As expected, both programs still face long-term financing shortfalls, despite accounting for 41 percent of the government’s spending in fiscal year 2015. Social Security Disability is the most pressing need, with projections showing that fund lasting until 2023. The bulk of Social Security is still projected to be depleted by 2034, while Medicare is expected to last in its current form until 2028.

Retirement plan contributions for 2017

Year-end planning involves making sure increases in retirement plan contributions are taken into account for the following year. Unluckily for those maximizing contributions to 401(k)s and SIMPLE IRAs, those levels will remain the same next year. For the 401(k), that amount is $18,000 for those under 50 and $24,000 for those 50 and older. For the SIMPLE IRA, employee contributions stay at $12,500 plus a $3,000 catch up provision. There were adjustments for the maximum defined contribution from $53,000 to $54,000 and the maximum defined benefit amount rose for the first time in years from $210,000 to $215,000.

Genworth purchased by Chinese firm

Genworth, one of the biggest players in the U.S. long-term-care market, was purchased for $2.7 billion in cash by China Oceanwide Holdings. The buyer will provide liquidity for maturing debt and life insurance operations, and the business will continue to operate as a standalone company. The cash infusion will help solidify the company during a restructuring after losses due to unanticipated long-term-care claim expenses.

Mortality research shows people dying sooner

Actuarial research is finding that people are passing away sooner. For financial planning purposes, this may be morbidly seen as good news for those concerned about outliving their money. According to a recent study by the Society of Actuaries, the average 65-year old man will live to just short of 85 and the average 65-year old woman will just miss age 88, a 6 month reduction in life expectancy. The reduction is even more dramatic for Millennials. 

Dan Forbes, a CFP Board Ambassador, is a regular contributor on financial issues. He leads the firm Forbes Financial Planning, Inc in East Greenwich, RI and can be reached at [email protected]

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