RI Economy Expected to Decline in 2nd Quarter of 2016

GoLocalProv Business Team

RI Economy Expected to Decline in 2nd Quarter of 2016

The Rhode Island economy was projected to decline in the second quarter of 2016 at an annual rate of 1.2 percent. Estimates of the state's economic growth over the last three quarters were also revised downward. 

The projections come from the Rhode Island Current Economic Indicator (CEI) Briefing released on Thursday by the Center for Global and Regional Economic Studies at Bryant University and the Rhode Island Public Expenditure Council (RIPEC). 

Click here for the full briefing 

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Since May's first quarter briefing, the annualized quarterly growth rate has been revised downward from 3.0 to 1.6% for the first quarter, from 2.9 to 1.7 percent for the fourth quarter of 2015; and from 2.1 to negative 0.4 percent for the third quarter of 2015. 

"These revisions to the historical data, combined with the second quarter's projected negative growth, suggest that Rhode Island's recent economic performance and long-term recovery from the Great Recession is not as robust at it appeared at the end of the first quarter of 2016," said RIPEC in their press release. 

New England and National Trends 

The CEI estimates that the New England economy grew at an annualized rate of 0.4% in the second quarter of 2016, compared to 1.5% in the first quarter and 2.1% in the fourth quarter of 2015. 

Nationally, U.S. Gross Domestic Product is projected to increase at an annualized rate of 1.2% in the second quarter of 2016, compared to 0.8% in the first quarter and 0.9% in the 4th quarter of 2015. 

Quarterly CEI 

The quarterly CEI, developed by economists at The Center for Global and Regional Economic Studies at Bryant University, combines several key gauges of economic activity in a single statistic that measures the overall current economic conditions in Rhode Island. 

It is calibrated to grow at the rate of the Real Gross State Product and can be interpreted as an estimate of the growth rate of the state economy. The CEI is calculated using the most current available data for the state.


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