7 Major Coronavirus Developments — Forecasts Vary on RI's Death Rate — May 15, 2020

GoLocalProv News Team

7 Major Coronavirus Developments — Forecasts Vary on RI's Death Rate — May 15, 2020

CDC Deaths
This week’s national-level forecasting includes 12 individual forecasts, and all indicate an increase in deaths in the coming weeks. Predicted rates of increase differ among the forecasts, depending on assumptions about the strength and coverage of social distancing behaviors, says the CDC.

State-level ensemble forecasts indicate that states with low numbers of deaths reported to date are not likely to see a rapid rise in the coming weeks, while states with high numbers of deaths reported to date are likely to see substantial increases.

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Forecasts fall into one of three categories

The LANL and UMass-MB forecasts do not explicitly model the effects of individual social distancing measures but assume that implemented interventions will continue, resulting in decreased growth.

The Geneva, Georgia Tech, MIT, MOBS, and UT forecasts assume that existing social distancing measures will continue through the projected time period.

The Columbia, IHME, UChicago, and YYG forecasts make different assumptions about how levels of social distancing will change in the future.

WATCH AT NOON: Former Director of Health Dr. Michael Fine on GoLocal LIVE
 

See Slideshow: 7 Major Coronavirus Developments Below


7 Major Coronavirus Developments — May 15, 2020

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