Whitcomb: SeaAhead; Not Very New NAFTA; Complicated Bike-Lane Traffic; McCain Without Tears

Robert Whitcomb, Columnist

Whitcomb: SeaAhead; Not Very New NAFTA; Complicated Bike-Lane Traffic; McCain Without Tears

Robert Whitcomb, columnist

“The leaves of brown came tumbling down
Remember in September in the rain.
The sun went out just like a dying ember
That September in the rain.’’

-- From the 1937 song “September in the Rain,’’ by Harry Warren and Al Dubin

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“[T]hat old September feeling, left over from school days, of summer passing, vacation nearly done, obligations gathering, books and football in the air. ... Another fall, another turned page: there was something of jubilee in that annual autumnal beginning, as if last year's mistakes had been wiped clean by summer.’’

-- Wallace Stegner, in his novel Angle of Repose

 

“Labor in this country is independent and proud. It has not to ask the patronage of capital, but capital solicits the aid of labor.‘’  

-- Daniel Webster

Dream on!

 

The new economy
Our Marine Comparative Advantage

 

You’ll be hearing more about Providence-based SeaAhead, which seeks to support new ocean-related venture development at “the intersection of innovation and sustainability’’ and could become a very big deal. The organization includes technologists, scientists, startups, large corporations, governments and other stakeholders joining to work on such projects as more environmentally friendly shipping and ports; aquaculture and other fishery processes; offshore alternative energy, and smart cities.  Also included are boat building, defense, scientific exploration and coastal tourism. SeaAhead explains:

 

“The ‘Blue Economy’ is a relatively new term used to describe the economic and intrinsic values generated in and around the ocean.’’

 

 “Given the importance that the blue economy has for humanity, there is now an enormous opportunity for cross-fertilization of recent technical advances from adjacent industries. Innovations in areas such as robotics and sensors could be leveraged to improve ocean sustainability, coastal resiliency and the urban coast’s environmental footprint. From data science to VR/AR and materials development, enabling technologies have the potential to revolutionize this sector.’’

 

With its maritime traditions – commercial and otherwise -- and knowledge base and such research institutions as MIT, the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, URI’s School of Oceanography, Mystic Aquarium and many others,  along with many high-tech companies, southern New England is a very practical launchpad for SeaAhead.

 

For more information, go HERE:

 

The New NAFTA?

 

What kind of effects will the wildly exaggerated (by Trump) trade deal with Mexico – which consists of modest revisions of the North American Free Trade Agreement but with dramatic PR rebranding -- have on U.S. manufacturing jobs? Probably not much.

 

I write this as we await word of what will probably be Canada’s acquiescence in a revised (and renamed) NAFTA after hard negotiations last week.

 

Kristin Dziczek, of the Center for Automotive Research, told Bloomberg News that many cars being made in North America -- such as the Honda Civic -- already exceed the content requirements in the proposed pact with Mexico. And the proposed requirement that 40 to 45 percent of automobiles’ content be made by workers paid at least $16 an hour already exists for many auto workers.

 

"I don’t think it shifts things a whole lot right now," she said.

 

Mexican Economy Minister Ildefonso Guajardo said that “70 percent of Mexican auto exports to the U.S. already meet requirements’’ envisioned in the tentative agreement.

 

President Donald Trump
Gimlet-eyed Goldman Sachs said of the agreement that is doesn’t “expect the revised terms {of  NAFTA, to be named something less toxic} to have substantial macroeconomic effects in the U.S. if they do take effect.”

 

Robert Scott, director of trade and manufacturing policy research at the Economic Policy Institute, which works closely with unions, observed: “There are a lot of people who have been working very hard on the renegotiation of NAFTA, but I don’t think that’s going to bring jobs home in vast numbers.’’ The EPI has made the good point in the past that NAFTA has tended to give the benefits to investors while hurting many U.S. manufacturing workers (but not most other workers). As with all trade agreements after some years, NAFTA needs to be revised.

 

The biggest effects that Americans will notice if and when a revised NAFTA takes effect will be higher vehicle prices and accelerated efforts to automate production. While automation is not nearly as sexy as foreign competition as a villain in the loss of well-paying U.S. manufacturing jobs, it’s far more important.

 

Meanwhile, Canadians will long be bitter on how Trump and Mexico shoved Canada to the side in the trade negotiations with Mexico.  Canada is America’s second-biggest trading partner, after China, and, with Britain one of our two closest allies. Further, our northern neighbor buys more U.S. goods and services than it sells us. It will be years before the Canadians trust us again. We may pay a heavy price for our betrayal.

 

In any event, Trump, whom the Electoral College elected in part because of his protectionist noises, needed a trade win to help stave off a Democratic takeover of the U.S. House in November. The NAFTA reset may well be seen as a win, helped by the fact that very few people will actually read the agreement. Indeed, perhaps Trump hasn’t or won’t.

 

Personal-Vehicle Lanes

 

The brief appearance on Providence streets of those Bird electric scooters, before they were ordered off pending adjustments of local regulations, raised the wider issue of what to do with the proliferation of little vehicles on city streets.  The still far-too-few bike paths in some cities aren’t wide enough to accommodate the increasing number of human-powered bikes, electric scooters, skateboarders, runners, wheelchairs (some motorized), three-wheelers, walkers with dogs and so on.

 

This is becoming more of a pressing matter now that such ride-sharing companies as Uber and Lyft have said that they, too, are going to go big into the scooter- and bike-sharing business. That’s good news if it means less business for Uber and Lyft cars, which are sometimes dangerously clogging city streets and undermining public transportation, of which we need far more.

 

Magical Thinking in Springfield

 

I predict that Springfield, Mass., will be poorer, not richer, in 10 years now that the MGM casino has opened. Casinos are not wealth creators – except for the investors, most of whom live far away from the casinos they own. Springfield is unlikely to ever again be the manufacturing powerhouse (think guns in particular) that it was, but gambling will not cure its ills; indeed, it will add to them, especially in crime and personal bankruptcies. Welcome to an inland Atlantic City.

 

John McCain, SOURCE: Library of Congress
The Real John McCain

 

The plaudits for the late Arizona senators have been overdone.

 

Yes, he was physically very brave and a patriot, as well as often funny. And from time to time McCain would admit that he’d been very wrong. That’s increasingly rare amongst national politicians.

 

To me, he was most admirable as a stout defender of freedom and democracy around the world. It’s was moving to learn that the very brave Russian dissident Vladi­mir Kara-Murza, an outspoken critic of Putin, was a pallbearer at McCain’s memorial service on Sept. 1 in Washington. The Putin regime has tried twice so far to murder Kara-Murza with poison attacks.

 

On a few issues McCain bravely challenged the GOP establishment, such as on campaign-finance reform and by voting against a Republican attempt to kill the Affordable Care Act, but in the latter case, only because he disliked the process by which his party sought to railroad the vote without due consideration by Congress. In the still young Trump regime, he voted 83 percent of the time for our Dear Leader’s legislation.

 

He also voted for the U.S. invasion of Iraq  (which I erroneously  and timidly thought at the time had some merit), which has had long-term catastrophic effects on the U.S. economy and national security, and for various tax cuts heavily weighted to favor the rich and that have dug America into ever deeper  federal deficits while removing money that could have been used to start fixing America’s crumbling infrastructure, among other national needs. McCain fairly often adopted the short-term politically advantageous position above principle. Later, he’d ruefully admit the cynicism that infected some of his politically soaked decisions. Refreshing, but the damage was done.
 

And he sometimes got far too much credit for saying “blunt’’ things but only because he sounded good only in comparison with his increasingly ill-read and nativist party. (Boy, does America need a new, responsible, fact-based center-right party to replace the demagogue-and-plutocrat-led monster that the GOP has become in much of America.)

 

An example of how the media still exaggerate McCain’s occasional “maverick’’ tendencies came when during a 2008 presidential-campaign event in Minnesota an angry and bigoted woman said “I can’t trust Obama. He’s an Arab.’’ To which McCain replied: “No ma’am. Obama is a decent family man and citizen that I just happen to have disagreements with’’ and “He’s not an Arab.’’ “Mainstream media’’ commentators lauded him for correcting the lady.

 

But McCain didn’t challenge the implication that “Arabs’’ (whatever that means) can’t be “decent family men’’ whom we can have principled “disagreements’’ with.

 

And there’s McCain’s most dangerous action, choosing the demagogic ignoramus Sarah Palin as his running mate. At the time, McCain was 72 years old and had had cancer. Actuarially there was a good chance, perhaps about 30 percent, that he would have died in office in his first term, leaving as president the most ignorant and unstable person in our history. Even Trump is less ignorant than Palin, if equally unstable.

 

The outpouring of tributes to the senator from Republicans (except from the fanatical Trumpists) and many Democrats has much more to do with his famous charming “feistiness” and collegiality in the Senate, and awe about how he survived with honor in Vietnam, than with the substance of his views and legislative votes. But, again, he looks particularly attractive – and a throwback to more constructive political days -- when compared with how many of his colleagues sound today. Everything’s relative.

 

Meanwhile, I’ve been amused about how often in this Age of Narcissism people called upon to perform TV tributes to McCain have made their stories all about them, with innumerable politicians and others bragging about their close friendships with the great man.

 

Citizens' says the will keep the HQ in Providence
Citizens Honchos to Stay Downtown

 

Citizens Financial Group says it will keep its headquarters -- and so its senior executives -- in downtown Providence, even as its new campus in Johnston will hold up to 3,200 workers. Most senior executives prefer the activities and amenities, such as restaurants, health-care facilities and colleges, found in walkable urban cores rather than the bland setting of an utterly car-dependent suburban corporate campus.

 

The Braintree Herald

The Boston Herald plans to move its office to Braintree later this year from Boston’s Seaport District, to save money even as it keeps laying off staffers.

 

The conceit is that its journalists can do most of their reporting by phone and computer (Skype, etc.) rather than in person. But to gain the trust of many sources you must interview them in person.

 

Boston Herald moves out of Boston
The Herald, whose predecessor, the Boston Herald Traveler, was for many years the largest paper in New England, is owned by a New York hedge fund called Alden Global Capital. They will drain as much cash out of it as they can before closing down the print edition and maybe the whole thing, as will Gatehouse Media with its papers, which include The Providence Journal and Worcester Telegram.

The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, a good paper in a big city, has stopped publication of its print editions on Tuesdays and Saturdays, abandoning those readers who appreciate that you generally better understand and retain information read on paper than on a back-lit screen. But newsprint is expensive and social media and other Internet creatures such as Craigslist have almost destroyed newspapers’ advertising base.

 

I’d be surprised if The Providence Journal and The Worcester Telegram didn’t drop some or all of their weekday print editions within the next couple of years, whoever owns them then. I can assure you that neither Alden Global Capital nor Gatehouse have any romantic ideas about how newspapers should be considered “public trusts’’ needed to promote civic understanding, as some well-respected papers used to call themselves. They have only one goal – profit maximization for their investors and senior executives.

For research on reading on screens compared to paper, please hit these links:

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-lazar/study-finds-difference-in_b_10210036.html

https://newrepublic.com/article/135326/digital-reading-no-substitute-print

https://insights.uksg.org/articles/10.1629/uksg.236/

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/reading-paper-screens/

 

But all hail GoLocal’s screens for presenting so much information that newspapers no longer have space for. That’s the World Wide Web’s greatest strength – virtually limitless space.

 

Billionaire’s Big Newport Mess

 

With a fortune of about $55 billion, you’d think that Oracle mogul Larry Ellison would have had the landscaping around his Bellevue Avenue, Newport, mansion long since finished. But the place still looks like an ugly construction site a year after his mansion and affiliated structures were renovated for a mere $100 million in chump change. Why the delay?

 

President Bill Clinton
A Tale of Two Investigations and Trumpists’ Hypocrisy Festival

 

The investigation of the Clintons in the 1990s, run by Republican special counsels, lasted eight years, during six of which the Republicans controlled the House, and cost $70 million. The far more complicated  (in part because it includes foreign actors and threats to national security) investigation, run by Robert Mueller, a Republican, has lasted 15 months and so far cost $7.7 million. The Watergate investigation lasted more than two years.

 

For a very lucid comparison explanation of the two investigations, please hit this link:

 

The history demonstrates the staggering hypocrisy of those who are trying to stop the Mueller probe. Of course, they can rely on most Americans’ disinclination to study even relatively recent history that might put current events in context.

 

Which reminds me that it’s increasingly rare for Feds to investigate white-collar crime. While big-business crooks usually can proceed with their frauds and thievery with little fear of prosecution, far less important criminal activity by people without access to lobbyists and lawyers can result in long jail time. Consider, for example, that no Wall Street CEOs served time for their companies’ frauds that helped cause the Crash of 2008 and Great Recession, and indirectly helped bring us Donald Trump.

 

ProPublica, in an investigative article, headlined “Why Manafort and Cohen Thought They’d Get Away With It: It takes a special counsel to actually catch white-collar criminals,’’ reports:

 

“White-collar cases made up about one-tenth of the Justice Department’s cases in recent years, compared with one-fifth in the early 1990s. The IRS’s criminal enforcement capabilities have been decimated by years of budget cuts and attrition. The Federal Election Commission is a toothless organization that is widely flouted.

“No wonder Cohen and Manafort were so brazen. They must have felt they had impunity.’’

“Beginning with a charge to investigate Russian interference in the 2016 election, special counsel Robert Mueller has fallen upon a rash of other crimes. In doing so, he has exposed how widespread and serious our white-collar fraud problem really is, and how lax enforcement has been for years.’’

 

More than ever, there are two justice systems in America: One for the rich and powerful, the other for everyone else.

To read the ProPublica piece, please this link:

 

Of Bernie and Donnie

 

Lucian K. Truscott IV has written a brilliant essay that sums up Trump’s career. It’s headlined “Donald Trump is the Bernie Madoff of politics: Con men from Queens who prospered from lies’’.


To read it:

 

Paul Manafort
A ‘Good Man’ for Tyrants

 

Trump praised his corrupt former campaign manager, Paul Manafort, as being a “good man’’ after he was convicted of various financial crimes. Here are some folks whom this “good man’’ represented as a lobbyist and PR: Putin ally and former Ukrainian leader Viktor Yanukovich; former Nigerian dictator Sani Abacha; former Somali dictator Siad Barre; former Congolese dictator Mobutu Sese Seko; former Filipino dictator Ferdinand Marcos, and Angolan war criminal Jonas Savimbi.

 

Wildlife in Unwild Places

 

I remain astonished by the number of rabbits in some affluent urban neighborhoods, such as the East Side of Providence -- far more than you’d see in many more rural areas hereabouts. But rabbits are as opportunistic as most animals. These neighborhoods are relatively safe for most wild creatures: Most dogs there are leashed (though too many irresponsible cat owners let their pets run free to kill birds and small mammals), there are few coyotes, there’s plenty of water from residents’ irrigation systems and lots of plants to eat, albeit some with toxic levels of pesticides.

 

Thus the best places for some wildlife (raccoons come to mind) are in places that are anything but wild. Another sign of how humans have made the world topsy-turvy.

 

Parks on Plastic

 

The Dutch are notably environmentalist (maybe they have to be given that much of the country is below sea level) and ingenious. See the floating park in the port city of Rotterdam whose building blocks are made out of plastic waste collected (and then recycled) from the same river where the plastic bags, etc., were found.

 

An idea for the Providence, Seekonk and Charles rivers?

 

Publishers and Poets

 

Jonathan Galassi’s very entertaining novel, Muse (Alfred A. Knopf), is primarily about the New York publishing and social worlds and how literature fits into them.  (From my erratic experience in those worlds, I’d say it rings true, after accepting Mr. Galassi’s poetic license). But it’s also about our wider society and economy, including how the Internet and today’s money-first ethos threaten to impoverish parts of our culture. While much of it is a satire – some of it very funny -- it has a serious foundation: We need literature. Mr. Galassi knows what he’s writing about: He the former president of the distinguished publishers Farrar, Straus & Giroux and a celebrated poet.

 

Or a Dance Hall?

 

Some architectural historians want to save the kitschy Apex store in Pawtucket, with its ziggurat, as a wacky example of Mid-Century Modernism. But what do they suggest that the current or future owners do with it? Establish New England’s largest flea market? Indoor tennis courts?  Gun shows? Ideas wanted. The owner/owners can’t keep the building for free.

See architectural historian William Morgan’s article on the Apex store by hitting this link:


The 50 Greatest Living Rhode Islanders

429 Too Many Requests

429 Too Many Requests


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