Russell Moore: The Taylor Swift Tax Diversion

Russell J. Moore, GoLocalProv MINDSETTER™

Russell Moore: The Taylor Swift Tax Diversion

It's an old trick.

Propose a budget with several complicated, but important proposals that could have serious impacts on large portions of the state population for decades, but couch it alongside a headline grabbing proposition that was never really meant to be taken seriously in the first place, in order to distract your most coveted proposals.

That's precisely what it seems like Governor Gina Raimondo has done with her so-called "Taylor Swift Tax" in her budget proposal. The proposal would create a new, statewide property tax that would only apply to second homes or so-called "vacation" homes worth more than $1 million.

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It's an attention-grabbing proposal, but it's certainly not a major part of the budget. The initiative would raise roughly $12 million, according to her estimates. In a budget proposal that totals about $8.6 billion, that, to put it mildly, is not a big sum. In fact, it's a very tiny percentage.

Wondering Why

In a tweet and during an appearance on 630 WPRO's The Buddy Cianci Show, former Rhode Island Director of Administration and longtime Executive Director of the Rhode Island Public Expenditure Council Gary Sasse wondered why the Governor would propose a new, statewide property tax, which won't raise much money at all, yet will attract some serious negative attention to our state.

The national media, which almost always casts a negative light on Rhode Island thanks to our high tax and cost structure, (we never seem to rank better than the bottom 10 in any economic rankings), will only pile on the state once the state enacts a new statewide property tax, Sasse pointed out.

Sasse said he couldn't understand why the Governor would propose something that would negatively affect the state's reputation, potentially deter tourism, and raise very little money as a result.

Diversionary Tactic

Here's why: to distract from the more serious proposals in the budget that the Governor truly covets. Despite the small amount of cash the proposal would raise, it has easily been the most talked about aspect of the Governor's proposal in print media, on the airwaves and in the coffee shops.

If we're all talking about the new tax that our favorite starlet will be forced to pay, we're not talking about the debt restructuring deal that will be the largest refinancing deal in the history of the state government. That debt restructuring will save money in the short term, but might cost us more over the long run if it adds years of payment to our debt. 

That may or may not be the case, but we simply don't know yet because the details of what the restructuring will look like haven't been made clear as of yet. (And it will be interesting to see the who's who of connected Rhode Island lawyers, financial advisers, etc., who will benefit financially from the transaction fees and how much they and their family members have donated to prominent RI politicians).

Taxing Health Insurance

But if we're focusing on a statewide property tax proposal, we're not talking about the largest debt refinancing in the history of RI state government. 

Likewise, the budget also levies a new tax on health care premiums of individuals and small groups (the people who pay the most for insurance already), to help pay for RI's implementation of Obamacare. If we're too busy talking about a new statewide property tax for second homes, we're not discussing the health insurance tax.

If we're focusing on a proposal that targets the rich for a relatively small amount of money, we're not discussing the proposal that will hike the health insurance premiums of those who can least afford the hikes.

The Governor also wants the state taxpayers to once again pay the 38 studios bonds, which they never agreed to back in the first place, arguing that it would hurt the state's credit rating if we didn't. Yet there's never been a credible study that shows our credit rating would be affected in such a negative way that it would cost us more than $100 million in the long term. 

Major Issues

Yet we're not revisiting the 38 studios issue if we're talking about the possibility of creating a new tax that would harm the state's reputation far more than ignoring a debt that's not legally ours to begin with.

When the budget is finally adopted, Governor Raimondo will most likely agree to abandon her proposal to create a statewide property tax, most likely due to higher than expected revenues found at the May Estimating Conference, in exchange for the enactment of the rest of her budget.

Taylor Swfit will be safe, but hopefully, when the debt restructuring, tax on health insurance, and ongoing payments to the 38 studios bondholders continue, Rhode Islanders aren't feeling tricked.

Russell J. Moore has worked on both sides of the desk in Rhode Island media, both on political campaigns and for newspapers. Send him email at [email protected] Follow him on twitter @russmoore713.

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