Riley: Spin Doctor Seth at it Again

Michael G. Riley, GoLocalProv MINDSETTER™

Riley: Spin Doctor Seth at it Again

After a series of campaign statements touting his performance and the fact that he would produce returns that would improve the Pension Plan status in Rhode Island, Seth Magaziner is on the verge of producing the worst returns in decades. The combination of a confusing, complex and expensive pension portfolio left to Magaziner by Gina Raimondo and the obvious fact that Magaziner lied about his experience and resume have produced a disaster. At the moment Raimondo and Cliffwater's hedges are melting down with the junk bond market. It is inexcusable that pension beneficiaries are exposed to junk bonds. But Raimondo apparently approved calling it “a hedge.”

Meanwhile, back at mainstream media, Seth Magaziner spoke to Katherine Gregg about pension return leaving all of us totally confused about how we are doing. Let me make this clear, we suck. We have a pension shortfall that exceeds $1 billion dollars over the last 18 months. 

There are two ways actuaries and think tanks report pension plan returns, they are either calendar year and/or fiscal year. Calendar year 2015 is about to end in two weeks and Fiscal year 2015 ended last June 30 and now we are half way through fiscal 2016.The State operates on a June 30 Fiscal year.

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Here is what Gregg said 

“As of Wednesday, the calendar year-to-date return on the $7.63 billion state-run pension fund was 0.88 percent, according to the state treasurer's office. By way of comparison: the pension fund stood at $8.06 billion a year ago.” 

Is that clear to everyone?

Ok here is the reality.

Calendar year 2015 (as of today Tuesday December 22), the State is down 1.65%. They predicated they will compound returns for the next 24 years at 7.5% 2015 short fall was over $700 million dollars. Fiscal year 2016 is half way done and down 3.33%, if we were to finish this June 30 at the same level Rhode Island would be short $860 million dollars or one bridge toll plan. After losing the equivalent of 10 times 38 studios losses for the calendar year 2014.

The time has come to replace the adviser Cliffwater and fire the investment Commission members who are nothing but a rubber stamp. These returns are a complete disgrace and endanger the next generation of Rhode Islanders.

Governor Raimondo has been very quiet and distancing herself from the rookie Magaziner and the disaster in Providence. If she ever wants to go to higher office she should show some leadership.

Read Greggs article and mine. I think mine is the unvarnished truth. I don’t know what the heck Magaziner and Gregg were trying to say.

Michael G. Riley is vice chair at Rhode Island Center for Freedom and Prosperity, and is managing member and founder of Coastal Management Group, LLC. Riley has 35 years of experience in the financial industry, having managed divisions of PaineWebber, LETCO, and TD Securities (TD Bank). He has been quoted in Barron’s, Wall Street Transcript, NY Post, and various other print media and also appeared on NBC News, Yahoo TV, and CNBC. 

Timeline - Rhode Island Pension Reform

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