Riley: Outside Forensic Audit Will Show Providence Financial Lies

Michael G. Riley, GoLocalProv MINDSETTER™

Riley: Outside Forensic Audit Will Show Providence Financial Lies

One month ago, Moody’s rated Providence debt -- RIHBC and General Obligation Bonds. The bonds issued by the Providence Redevelopment Agency were rated Baa2 and the cities General Obligation debt remained Baa1. The outlook was negative.    

Providence is now rated several notches below its 2010 rating under David Cicilline when the Mayor lied and misrepresented the financial condition of Providence to municipal investors and retirees. After endorsing “Category 5” David Cicilline for Congress Mayor Taveras proceeded toward reform of city finances and pension reform abandoned by Raimondo and Chafee. Taveras touted the reform as a game-changer that reduced unfunded Pension Liability to $750 million, claiming to reduce unfunded liability by $236 million. 

Unfortunately that wasn’t true and the number was subtly shifted to $170 million because of bad math and then Buck Consultants, the 99 year auditor of the pension plan, was fired. Nevertheless, Taveras touted “saving Providence.”

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Ratings plummeted upon discovering Cicilline lies and then didn’t even get off the mat after Taveras so called miraculous reforms. Taveras slipped out of town and now under Elorza the lies continue, as he blamed Taveras for hidden losses. Seven years into economic recovery and after the S&P 500 more than doubled, Providence unfunded liability stands at $900 million according to the June 30  2015 CAFR. The funded ratio is at an all time low.

Here’s some of Moody’s report:

The rating also factors the city's weak financial position including a negative fund balance. The rating also incorporates a high debt burden that is partially supported by state school building aid, and a very high fixed cost burden with large unfunded pension and OPEB liabilities.

Here is a list of items cited by Moody's Rating Outlook

The negative outlook reflects the continued fiscal challenges the city faces including a very weak reserve position and rising pension and healthcare costs.

Leadership Vacuum in Rhode Island

It is very clear that no one, outside the insider few, knows what is going on in Providence finances. Our capital city is currently drifting rudderless and broke mostly because our Governor will not stand up and lead the City.

I recommend that an outside forensic accounting team move in, hired by the State, and scrub the City’s finances including operations and agencies and especially Pension Funding. Providence numbers are not to be trusted. Whether its sloppiness or fraud, bond markets have the right to know the true financial condition of Providence. Last week I showed the city is stealing the pension contributions from its own workers and using the contributions for operating expenses and raises for executives. The response from the City was silence. 

What company or new business would want to move to a city with hidden accounting, a near junk rating and a no leader in sight? Shame on the Governor for not moving in to save our Capitol City.

Michael G. Riley is vice chair at Rhode Island Center for Freedom and Prosperity, and is managing member and founder of Coastal Management Group, LLC. Riley has 35 years of experience in the financial industry, having managed divisions of PaineWebber, LETCO, and TD Securities (TD Bank). He has been quoted in Barron’s, Wall Street Transcript, NY Post, and various other print media and also appeared on NBC News, Yahoo TV, and CNBC.

Timeline - Rhode Island Pension Reform

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