Veteran Political Reporter Jim Baron Dies

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Veteran Political Reporter Jim Baron Dies

Jim Baron in the Pawtucket Times Newsroom
The Pawtucket Times' veteran political reporter Jim Baron has died, according to reports.

The Brooklyn, New York native was a fixture at the Rhode Island State House and was the reporter who asked the question that the politicians hated to hear.

The venerable reporter was just 57-years-old. Baron was a throw-back reporter who chased politicians for answers to stories.

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Baron posted the following column to social media on January 2, 2013

POLITICS AS USUAL New Year’s Eve Edition

Yes, yes, tomorrow is just the start of 2013, but the elbowing and turf-claiming for the 2014 governor’s race will begin in earnest during the coming year.
Although New Year’s Eve is a time for predictions, what follows isn’t really a prediction; it is more in the form of a “What If?” fantasia for the political year to come.
So, how might the gubernatorial field pan out?
First off, everybody’s favorite for front-runner seems to be General Treasurer Gina Raimondo, a Democrat. It is those last two words that present a problem for her.
Being a Democrat in a statewide race isn’t usually a problem for a candidate in Rhode Island, but for Raimondo it just might be. If Raimondo were the Democratic nominee for governor, she would likely have a clear path to the second floor office in the Statehouse. Getting that nomination, however, is where things could get sticky for her.
Former Auditor General Ernest Almonte has already tossed his hat into the ring, he is popular with many plugged-in Democrats, and his expertise and skill set are very similar to Raimondo’s. Newlywed Providence Mayor Angel Tavares has approval numbers right up there with Raimondo’s and he is popular among Latino voters whose numbers are surging and unions, who still have some clout in Democratic primary races (Raimondo would likely lose to the late Osama bin Laden among union voters). And it is quite possible that Republican-turned-Independent Gov. Lincoln Chafee might complete his transmogrification into a Democrat, as he has suggested out loud to reporters in recent weeks. Such a crowded field could once again work in Chafee’s favor, as it did in the 2010 general election. In case you don’t remember, 2010 was when a well-funded General Treasurer ran as a conservative Democrat and had already lost the race even before he told the President of the United States to shove his endorsement after Barack Obama backed his old Senate chum Linc Chafee.
So you can see where Raimondo could have problems nabbing the Democratic nomination. She is a conservative enough Democrat that she is sometimes labeled as a DINO (Democrat in Name Only), not a good label to carry into a party primary, especially a crowded one. There is even a website called DinoRaimondo.info . 
But Raimondo probably doesn’t want to run as an Independent either, especially if Chafee decides to remain an Independent. That could cause a four-or-five candidate pigpile where anything could happen. With that kind of packed field, Moderate Ken Block might even get a grasp on the brass ring.
However, Republicans love Raimondo. LOVE HER!
To them, she is the dragon slayer. She defeated the hated public employee unions and (at least for the time being) sliced their coveted pensions into little pieces. Forget governor, Republican voters would make Raimondo Queen of Rhode Island if they could. Even running as a Republican, Raimondo would surely sop up a slew votes from moderate Democrats, for many of those same reasons.
If Raimondo were to declare as a Republican, she would instantly clear that field. Sorry, Cranston Mayor Alan Fung, you would stand no chance against a Raimondo juggernaut. And I’m pretty sure Brendan Doherty learned a hard lesson about opposing a well-organized and well-funded Democrat in Rhode Island especially since, unlike his previous opponent, Raimondo would have a sterling reputation and big-time popularity numbers right out of the gate, even with an R after her name.
The general treasurer already has a monster war chest that is growing as we speak and there is nothing the Republican Party likes better than a gubernatorial candidate who can fund himself or herself (see Carcieri, Donald). 
Raimondo would have enough personal popularity and campaign cash that she could share a little of that potent political capital with some longstanding Republican (Fung, perhaps?) and run as a governor-lieutenant governor team (they can’t run as a combined ticket, but they could run as a team). That would help soothe whatever grudges some Republicans might hold against Raimondo for her former Democratness.
Running as a Republican, Raimondo would have a good chance of defeating the still-young Tavares, or even coming out a winner in a Tavares, Chafee, Block, Raimondo four-way. If it were a three-way race with Tavares or Chafee as the Democratic nominee, and Block, Raimondo could run into some difficulty because Block would likely cut into her totals a bit, but the smart money would still have to be on her. Mayors of Providence have a notoriously bad track record running for higher office. Before David Cicilline made it to Congress in 2010, the last Providence mayor to rise to a higher elective office was Dennis Roberts, who became governor in 1951. That’s 61 years ago, about to be 62.
I don’t put much stock in the increasingly popular rumors that Chafee is in line for some kind of job or other with his old pal Obama in Washington somewhere, but if that did happen, it could really mess up the political calculus (something Chafee is quite adept at). Then Elizabeth Roberts, the state’s first female chief executive, could suddenly be running as an incumbent Democrat in the governor’s race and all bets would be off.
But back to the main thesis: Becoming a Republican might also help Raimondo with any political ambitions she may have beyond being governor. If she wants to go to the U.S. Senate or Congress, what is she going to do, challenge Jack Reed or Sheldon Whitehouse in a Democratic primary? Not bloody likely. Even trying to challenge David Cicilline (whom she endorsed and campaigned for last year) or Jim Langevin in a primary, assuming she would move into whichever district seemed most politically commodious, would be a long, long shot.
But after a term or two as a Republican governor in a blue state, if Raimondo wanted to make a Senate or House run, the national GOP would absolutely throw money and campaign help her way in any race she wanted to run.
As alluded to before, there is one question mark hanging over Raimondo as the pre-campaign season begins. That is the court challenge to her signal achievement: the pension reform law. If the law is found unconstitutional, if it is reversed and the state and cities and towns suddenly have to cough up all that money they thought they had saved by cutting people’s pensions, then the downside would spill squarely into Raimondo’s lap. The thing is, time may actually be on her political side on this. 
They say two weeks is an eternity in politics. Well, two years is a mere blip in time in the courts, barely enough time to settle a few minor preliminary motions. The pension challenge still has to get a full trial before Judge Sarah Taft-Carter in Superior Court – she has ordered mediation, but nobody knows whether that will result in an agreement, and even if it does, the General Assembly still has to agree to turn that agreement into legislation and pass it in both the House and Senate. There are no guarantees of that. Then, the only absolutely sure thing about this issue is that whichever side loses in Superior Court will appeal to the Supreme Court and we might be enjoying many more New Year’s Eves before that happens.


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