Bishop: Sleepy South County or Races That Matter?

Brian Bishop, GoLocalProv Guest MINDSETTER™

Bishop: Sleepy South County or Races That Matter?

GolocalProv.com used its ‘slide show’ motif to make a thoughtful run through of Hot General Assembly Races last week. But, as often happens with upstate media, those of us downstate hit the cutting room floor.

Mark Zaccaria’s race in North Kingstown against incumbent Representative Robert Craven is the exception to this rule. Certainly, Zaccaria’s turn as state GOP Chairman and candidacies for US Senate and House make the race notable – perhaps for the notion that Zaccaria is taking a bite he can swallow this time.

But in the other North Kingstown District right next door, a close race is being waged to succeed Doreen Costa who term limited herself in a move akin to the Contract-with-America Republicans. Julie Casimiro, who ran against Costa two years ago, faces Republican Michael Marfeo from the Exeter half of the district. The race is being fought door by door, person by person and has skirted the issues, like tolls, that are animating many other races in South County. So it may not appear hot, but it is close.

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And this District 31 House race bumps up against another hot contest, the District 34 Senate seat which features a rematch between Senator Elaine Morgan and Catherine Cool-Rumsey who lost the seat to Morgan in 2014.  Unlike the more politically featureless, personally focused race next door, Rumsey comes with a progressive seal of approval and a rich warchest for a swamp Yankee senate seat. In this rural district, Elaine Morgan counters with a conservative bent and populist work ethic tempered by a record of vigorous bipartisan work advocating municipal priorities with the 5(!) town councils that represent portions of District 34.

Morgan is a staunch opponent of tolls while Rumsey favors them. And differences on policy are echoed by the two women’s approach to the office. Rumsey touts high-minded macro policy, e.g. the Behavioral Health and Firearms Safety Task Force, and a $15 minimum wage which she excoriates Morgan for opposing. Morgan is unabashed in opposition to such mandates on business that can under cut what little job growth we have.  But she is more of a local sparkplug, helping to organize opposition to the Governor’s proposed ‘Welcome Center’ which would take land off the tax rolls and put the state into competition with taxpaying businesses – all while giving rise to fear that the state’s habit of not policing itself for hazards like fuel storage and surface runoff could harm the aquifer underlying the proposed site.

Recent mailings attack Morgan for not supporting more money for Chariho schools which is a twisted way of saying she didn’t vote for the budget. Of course you can’t vote for part of the budget, its an all or nothing vote. This is an ironic line of attack as Morgan lead the charge to restore school transportation funds threatened after both Hopkinton and Richmond Town Councils passed resolutions opposing the tolls and the Speaker went on the warpath of retribution.

It is the more ironic because that duty should have fallen to District 38’s representative, Brian Patrick Kennedy.  This member of leadership and long serving Hopkinton and Westerly rep kept his head down rather than defend the town he represented, on either the tolls or the ‘Welcome Center’. During the election he emphasizes his reluctance about the tolls and finds the ‘courage’ to oppose the ‘Welcome Center’ that is opposed by virtually all his constituents.  But when it mattered, when transportation spending could have been questioned at the legislature, he was AWOL.

Tolls are issue number one for his opponent Mike Geary who works in trucking.  But Mike also helped spearhead citizen opposition to the ‘Welcome Center’ and questioned why Blake Filippi and Elaine Morgan had to take the lead in working with state and federal agencies and town governments to abate the mess at the Copar Quarry  when Kennedy was the veteran legislator.

While the demands of leadership can focus legislators on larger issues -- Kennedy for instance did much work on utility regulation, some good and some hopeless -- no amount of legislative celebrity will protect incumbents that loose touch with the day to day issues affecting their district. So this is a hotter race than anyone expected, not only as a result of tolls.

And can a race with no challenger be hot? Blake Fillippi in House District 36, who hopes to field a larger caucus of independents this year, has no opponent. But he could be cutting a bigger swath at the legislature in the future, so he’s in our hot races column.

In South County, the anti-toll and anti-status quo sentiment is unlikely to move the legislature in the progressive direction noted during the primaries. This is true for many other of the hot races elsewhere in the state. So the political balance of the legislature will be less affected overall than the average tenure of its members - which should go down noticeably.

And then the question of the ultimate upstate hot race, the speaker’s. There is an ironic ambivalence amongst various of the loyal opposition as to whether they really want the speaker to loose to Steve Frias. This has a kind of “devil you know over the devil you don’t” concern when it comes to who might wield the speaker’s gavel in his place.

Institutional players like the Providence Journal and Brendan Doherty have endorsed Mattiello. Ken Block is backing Frias. We too must side with Steve Frias tilting at the status quo. Because we see the ideological balance of the body as a wash in these elections, a change of speaker doesn’t loom as so great a hazard.

Of course the speaker is not selected solely for the extent to which their political predilections represent a middle ground amongst their colleagues. Good old fashioned log-rolling and an ability to command a majority when it counts matter more than policy centrality. It is conceivable that the speaker’s replacement could move more left of center, not a healthy direction for this state. But seeing the sitting speaker defeated for digging in his heals against the citizens on tolls is worth the risk. It is still our recommendation that you go to the polls and vote out those who voted for tolls.

 

Brian Bishop is on the board of OSTPA and has spent 20 years of activism protecting property rights, fighting overregulation and perverse incentives in tax policy. 

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