5 Major Coronavirus Developments - Raimondo Is Focused on the Wrong Numbers

GoLocalProv News Team

5 Major Coronavirus Developments - Raimondo Is Focused on the Wrong Numbers

Photo: U.S. Military
Each week Rhode Island Governor Gina Raimondo highlights what she believes are the critical numbers and the state's successes, but she may be fixated on the wrong numbers and the state's reporting structure is confusing the impact of the data.

Again on Wednesday Raimondo highlighted that Rhode Island is number one in testing per capita in the United States, and that number would have value if it was assisting the state in keeping Rhode Islanders from becoming infected and dying, but it is not.

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Moreover, Rhode Island's testing data lumps both asymptomatic testing at the universities -- those who are not sick and those who are not and have not been exposed -- together in general reporting.

At Brown University, the school has conducted more than 74,000 tests in two months and had less than 30 positives. Those test results are included in the Rhode Island reporting. In contrast, Massachusetts has a separate data base for college results. The mixing of the two very different categories of data in Rhode Island diminishes the value of the state's numbers and masks actual outbreaks.

Here Is RI's Situation:

1) Rhode Island continues to be ranked as the state with the 6th highest per capita death rate per 100,000. While testing has value, the goal of all the strategies is to keep Rhode Islanders from becoming infected and minimizing the loss of life.  Rhode Island is ranked 44th.

2) The national tracking site Covid ActNow has upgraded Rhode Island’s risk level to its highest category for “active or imminent outbreak.”

“Rhode Island is either actively experiencing an outbreak or is at extreme risk. COVID cases are exponentially growing and/or Rhode Island’s COVID preparedness is significantly below international standards,” reported COVID Act Now. 

Covid Act Now provided the following data to place Rhode Island in its highest category — Rhode Island is the only state in New England and the Mid-Atlantic to currently have the designation.

* Daily new cases, 27.7 per 100K. “Dangerous number of new cases”

* Infection rate, 1.20 “Active cases are rapidly increasing”

* Positive Test Rate, 2.0%. “Indicates widespread testing"

* ICU Headroom Used, 18%. “Can likely handle a new wave of COVID”

* Tracers Hired, 14%. “Insufficient tracers, even if the program is run effectively"

3) Rhode Island's number of daily cases, number hospitalized and infection rate have all doubled or more in the past 30 days.

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5 Major Developments in the Coronavirus - Raimondo Is Focused Got the Wrong Numbers - October 22

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