Whitcomb: Primary Ruminations; Fiscal Fantasies; Providence Boarding Houses; Shrieking Seabirds

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Whitcomb: Primary Ruminations; Fiscal Fantasies; Providence Boarding Houses; Shrieking Seabirds

Columnist Robert Whitcomb

‘’September’s Baccalaureate
A combination is
Of Crickets—Crows—and Retrospects
And a dissembling Breeze

That hints without assuming—
An Innuendo sear
That makes the Heart put up its Fun
And turn Philosopher.’’

 

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-- Emily Dickinson

“The mail truck goes down the coast

Carrying a single letter.
At the end of a long pier
The bored seagull lifts a leg now and then
And forgets to put it down.’’

-- From “Late September,’’ by Charles Simic, a New Hampshire poet

 

“The huge, multibillion-dollar market capitalizations of West Coast giants such as Amazon, Apple, Google, Facebook and Yahoo have not so far led to more affordable housing, more diverse top-flight public K-12 schools or a growing middle class energized by new arrivals from Mexico and Central America.’’

-- Victor Davis Hanson, a classicist and historian at Stanford and a conservative columnist who lives in impoverished Fresno County, Calif., in an essay about what he sees as rich hypocritical liberals.

 

Speaker Nick Mattiello
Establishment and Progressive Wins

Regarding the Rhode Island primary election, on Sept. 12:

The predictably pathetic turnout  -- 20 percent or less – was good for middle-of-the- road Democratic statewide candidates, most notably Gov. Gina Raimondo. They had better organizations and much more money than their challengers. But – paradoxically? – the success of highly energized progressive candidates for General Assembly seats showed that whoever wins the governorship in November will have to deal with a more progressive (aka “liberal’’) legislature. The progressives’ advance in the primary may bode ill for Rep. Nicholas Mattiello, a rather conservative Democrat, in his efforts to remain speaker.

Maybe the results suggest that the exit of the PawSox is not much of an issue.

 

 

 

White House
Public-Policy Contradictions

Public policy in the United States is increasingly a tawdry fantasyland. Consider two examples:

Trump is trying to block the scheduled 2.1 percent raise (below the general inflation rate) that had been scheduled for federal workers next year.

In a letter to House and Senate leaders, Trump called the pay increase "inappropriate."

"We must maintain efforts to put our Nation on a fiscally sustainable course, and federal agency budgets cannot sustain such increases.’’ That’s especially amusing because Trump and congressional valets of the very rich gave the latter huge tax reductions, which is helping to swell the federal budget deficit – the long-term effects of which will include a big increase in interest rates and recession. To make the future more fragile, Congress and the administration are weakening some of the regulations created after the 2008 crash to reduce the chances of another financial collapse. And corporate debt is surging….

The Treasury Department reports that in the first 10 months of this fiscal year, which ends Sept. 30:

·       The deficit totaled $684 billion, up 20.8 percent from the year-earlier period.

·       Revenues rose only 1 percent this year because of a big drop in corporate tax payments. 

·       But federal spending is up 4.4 percent, reflecting big increases approved by the Republican-controlled Congress earlier this year – in large part to win votes in the mid-term elections -- for domestic and military programs as well as to pay the rising costs of financing the swelling debt. “Free’’ goodies!

This grotesquely irresponsible fun will have to stop sometime, and there will be a lot of pain when it does. By the way, in 2017 the average CEO of the 350 largest firms in the U.S. received $18.9 million in compensation, up 17.6 percent from 2016. 
 

xxx

 

Coastal Flooding
And then we have the Federal Flood Insurance Program, which before Hurricane Florence arrived was $20 billion in debt. The program – the primary source of flood insurance in America -- is in need of deep reform.

 

The basic problem, besides the fact that Congress and the White House try to put as much stuff as possible on our collective credit card, rather than paying honestly with tax revenue: The federal government, to please  affluent homeowners, especially along the seacoast, and campaign-contributor developers and real-estate agents, blithely subsidizes rebuilding in flood-prone areas – areas becoming ever more vulnerable because of the effects of global warming caused by fossil-fuel burning.

 

 “They have not dealt with the gorilla in the room which is proactively addressing these types of disasters for the future,” Rob Moore, a senior policy analyst at the Natural Resources Defense Council, told Bloomberg News. “Too much of the U.S.’s response to natural disaster is completely reactionary: We throw a bunch of money after it happens.”

 

Indeed, after a hurricane slams a coastline,  private and public rebuilding money pours into devastated areas, leading to the construction of more building in some places than  were there before the hurricane!

 

Moore said that Congress should direct the Federal Emergency Management Agency, which runs the insurance program,  to focus on strongly discouraging building in the areas most vulnerable to flooding as well as mandating that less exposed but still somewhat vulnerable structures be raised. The taxpayers have helped to rebuild some coastal-flood destroyed structures five or more times.  

 

Last week it was the Carolinas, some late summer or early fall it will be southern New England when the eye of a northward-accelerating hurricane roars up the Connecticut Valley, exposing the coast of eastern Connecticut, all of Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts to a disastrous tidal surge. Most of us prefer not to help pay to rebuild a lot of McMansions on the dunes.

 

Regarding Florence, note that Orrin Pilkey, a retired Duke University coastal geologist, complained in a recent op-ed in the  (Raleigh) News & Observer that the Tar Heel state hasn’t acted with the same rigor as, for example, the communities in Virginia and New Jersey, to prepare for rising sea levels.

 

“Instead coastal development flourishes as more beachfront buildings, highways and bridges are built to ease access to our beautiful beaches. Currently, the unspoken plan is to wait until the situation is catastrophic and then respond.”

 

What will it take to bring the public and the government to the reality table?

 

Effort to fight illegal zoning
Proliferation of Illegal Boarding Houses

 

Some Providence residents have every right to be angry about property owners violating a city ordinance that says that owners of property zoned for single-owner (usually meaning single-family) occupancy can’t rent to more than three unrelated people. Some property owners are filling these houses with many more people, especially college students, in effect turning some houses into boarding houses. That’s especially on the East Side close to Brown and RISD and in Elmhurst around Providence College.

Time for a crackdown.

 

Kudos to Killer Flies

In happier environmental news, there’s good news for maple, oak and other trees, as well as blueberry bushes,  defoliated by winter moths, aka Operophtera Brumata L.


A University of Massachusetts at Amherst scientist named Joseph Elkinton, working with the assistance of the U.S. Department of Agriculture, has developed a “biocontrol’’ method of killing the moths without pesticides with Cyzenis Albicans flies.  The flies lay eggs on leaves eaten by winter moth caterpillars. The eggs hatch inside the caterpillars, and then the flies’ larvae eat the caterpillar from the inside out. Delightfully macabre, eh?

 

The winter moths are an invasive species that arrived in New England in the 1990s, with the spread associated with global warming. New England’s big trees are one of our region’s glories; it’s nice to know we can save more of them now without toxic chemicals.

 

Worcester Stadium
Whew!

The more you read about the deal that the City of Worcester, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts and Worcester-area business offered to get the Pawtucket Red Sox to move there, the more it seems that Rhode Island and Pawtucket never had a prayer of keeping the team. And that will not be a disaster.  The PawSox have had a minuscule role in the state’s economy, however beloved they are by the very small percentage of the state’s populations that have actually gone to McCoy Stadium.  Rhode Island may have dodged a very expensive bullet –in debt-repayment and other costs -- in not giving the PawSox’ very rich owners what they wanted in return for staying.

 

Worcester taxpayers might eventually face a disaster in trying to pay off the plus-$100 million debt it’s assuming to help pay for the “Woosox’’ stadium project, especially if we’re in a recession in a couple of years. But to be fair, Worcester area businesses were much more enthusiastic about doing what was necessary to lure the team than were Rhody ones.  They’ll do everything they can to make it work.

 

Per-game attendance in the International League (of which the PawSox is a member) is 7.9 percent lower than it was a decade ago. Can a team in Worcester reverse that, after the initial euphoria about a new stadium in downtown Worcester fades after five or six years and as soccer, not baseball, becomes more popular?

 

And now that everyone knows that the team is moving, will attendance at McCoy Stadium drop faster than it has, even though the team is scheduled to play at McCoy for the next two seasons? Some people may think that the PawSox have already left for good

 

Our Permanent Wars

 

So here we are, 17 years after 9/11, in worse shape in the Mideast than ever. Having launched a war in Iraq that led to chaos, sectarian violence, the spread of terrorism and the rise of Russian and Iranian power, and a war in Afghanistan that shows no signs of ending, we’ve lost thousands of military personnel (and killed many more innocent civilians in the Mideast war zones), spent trillions of dollars and undermined our economy in our Mideast war zones.

 

It’s been widely noted that someone born after the 9/11 attacks can enlist and serve in the seemingly endless wars launched in response to those attacks.

 

How much better off we’d be if we’d responded to 9/11 with tightly targeted, surgical police actions, with special forces, against the few terrorists (mostly connected with our “ally’’ Saudi Arabia) involved in the attacks rather than with full-blown wars. We’ll never “pacify’’ the Mideast: It’s far too complicated and volatile. What we’ve done with our wars is to weaken America, socially and economically. 9/11 was a world-historical catastrophe in many ways.

 

Battle over abortion rights
Old Anti-Abortion Laws

 

You probably think of Massachusetts as one of the most liberal states. So you’d be surprised to know that a 173-year-old state law declares abortion illegal there, despite Roe v. Wade,  the 1973 U.S. Supreme Court ruling that created a federal right to abortion across America.

The Bay State law prohibits  “procuring a miscarriage.’’ To address that,  the Negating Archaic Statutes Targeting Young Women Act would remove the statute; Governor Baker says he’d sign the measure into law.

Massachusetts is one of 10 states that still have old abortion bans – albeit unenforceable -- still on the books; all pre-date Roe v. Wade. But the Republican-dominated Supreme Court might reverse Roe in the next year or two and limit abortion-law making to the  states, which, after all, traditionally had control of such things. Because of Roe, the state law obviously can’t be enforced now but with growing chances that Roe will be overturned, there’s a strong impetus in some states to get rid of these old anti-abortion statutes fast.

 

MA Gov. Charlie Baker
Old-Fashioned Republican

The GOP has moved to the far right as it has moved south and west over the past few decades. Indeed, its heartland is the Old Confederacy.

But in its original heartland of the Northeast and Upper Midwest, there are still some remnants of more traditional Republicans – fiscally conservative (favoring pay as you go), socially mildly liberal and environmentalist. With these Republicans, you tend to get sober managers, avoiding utopian schemes in favor of incremental improvements. The Eisenhower administration comes to mind.

Or Massachusetts Gov. Charlie Baker, who has shown himself a very competent leader. He’s helped lead the region’s most important state to greater prosperity through the appointment of very able managers, careful fiscal policy and the ability to efficiently change course when necessary. One example of his administration’s success: the slowing of health-care costs in the only state with near-universal health-insurance coverage. Baker’s work as a solid business executive presaged his successful first term. He ran Harvard Pilgrim Health Care. Very handy experience.

Among other continuing challenges, he still needs to get a  firmer handle on the MBTA’s many administrative and physical-infrastructure woes and must help ensure that the Bay State maintains its first-in-the-nation public-education system. But his record so far suggests that he’d have a successful second term, which he deserves to win.5

 

Downward Mobility Redux

 

Right-wing politicians like to call America “The Land of Opportunity,’’ where anyone, by dint of effort, luck and merit, can achieve “The American Dream’’. Amusingly. we hear a lot of this rhetoric from people born on third base looking for another tax cut.

 

But sociologist Michael Hout, in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, takes apart this cliché in an article that shows the growing advantage that children of affluent parents have in their own socio-economic success. 
 

In announcing the results of his study, Hout said: “Generations of Americans considered the United States to be a land of opportunity. This research raises some sobering questions about that image.’’ But then, data have long shown that social mobility is higher in some other Western nations than here, and virtually all other Western nations have much stronger social-safety nets than America for those who won’t or can’t rise.

Hout writes:

“Since 1980, the pace of economic growth slowed and went disproportionately to the affluent while young people competed in an occupational structure less and less different from conditions their parents faced. High absolute mobility in the past came from broad economic growth and occupational transformation, not from equal chances to take advantage of opportunity. As the pace of growth and transformation waned, intergenerational persistence  {the advantage of having affluent, high-status parents} became more prominent. Declining structural mobility has unmasked inequality of opportunity as the drag on social mobility it has been at least since the 1960s.’’

To read the study, please hit this link:

 

The E.U. Votes to Defend Democracy

 

It was comforting to read that members of the European Parliament voted on Sept. 12 to punish the increasingly dictatorial and corrupt Hungarian government for its anti-democratic measures. The European Union, after all, is supposed to be a collection of democratic states that protect human rights.

 

But the vote is also a sad reminder of the erosion of democracy in Europe during and since the financial crisis and especially since the flood of African and Mideast migrants started.  (Part of the anger of many Europeans about the migrants stems from the idea that they’re coming to the E.U. more to get the social-welfare benefits there than to escape violence and tyranny. That isn’t true  but the complaint is very persistent.)

 

Hungary and Poland, another E.U. member and former Soviet satellite whose government is also becoming increasingly dictatorial and corrupt, used to be looked at as very hopeful examples of how freedom can replace many years of tyranny. But then, tyranny is far more the norm in history than is democracy.

 

The Hungarian and Polish regimes are destroying the independence of the judiciary and increasingly trampling on the news media and on minority rights as they create one-party states.

 

The E.U. measure, which required a two-thirds supermajority of the European Parliament to pass, declared there was a “clear risk of serious breach” of European values by  neo-fascist Hungarian Prime Minister {dictator} Viktor Orban. This could eventually get Hungary effectively thrown out of the E.U., which has long heavily subsidized Hungary. Orban will not find his friend Vladimir Putin so generous.

The European Union can often seem an amorphous bureaucratic blob. But its heart is its adherence to the best Western values. Kudos for the European parliamentarians.

 

Feathered Oceanic Adventurers

Coastal New Englanders, in particular, will want to read Adam Nicholson’s latest book, The Seabird’s Cry: The Lives and Loves of the Planet’s Great Ocean Voyagers, published by William Collins.

This is glorious nature writing,  and very well illustrated. Nicholson brilliantly evokes the creatures’ sometimes eerie beauty, while placing them in the context of world ecology, calling them  “the bringers of fertility, the deliverers of life from ocean to land.’’

 

But some of the book, which might soon become a classic, is very sad because the number of seabirds has been plunging, by one measure nearly 70 percent in the last 60 years, with 7 of the 10 species described in the book in decline, and of course mostly because of people. “We are the holocaust, the destroyers of what we come to live with,” Nicholson writes.  The species are: fulmar, puffin, kittiwake, gull, guillemot, shag, shearwater, gannet, razorbill and albatross. 


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