Riley: A Tale of Two Texas Cities

Michael G. Riley, GoLocalProv MINDSETTER™

Riley: A Tale of Two Texas Cities

In 2016, two of the biggest cities in one of the most prosperous states in the nation suddenly realized their pension funds were in such serious trouble that benefit reform was immediately necessary.

In Texas, Dallas and Houston (as well as San Antonio) all appeared in the top 15 most underfunded pension plans in the nation, according to Moody’s reports.  

One ratio closely followed by Moody’s and S&P painted Dallas in very bad light and showed other Texas cities in the worst 15. The liability as a percentage of annual operating revenues was 569% for Dallas, second only to Chicago, and Houston was 414% - the fourth worst in the nation.

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No wonder that panic hit the Texas State House. State legislators were so alarmed that they demanded Mayors Mike Rawlings of Dallas and Sylvester Turner of Houston take action.

Texas Shake-Up

The reform fight was quick and the results were dramatic. Employees took a big hit in order to shore up pension funding ratios. Increased retirement age, reduced or eliminated COLA’s, increased employee contributions, and reduced or eliminated add-ons to final salary calculation were imposed. Houston’s changes appear here.

“The deal would eliminate Houston's nearly $8 billion pension under-funding in 30 years, assume more realistic investment returns, avoid $2.5 billion in future costs through benefit cuts, and narrow the funding gap still left after those cuts by issuing $1 billion in bonds,” the Houston Chronicle reported.

Pension Funded Ratios

S&P estimates that the Dallas pension fund has only 28 percent of what it will need to pay retirees. In Dallas, police and fire employees share a single pension fund, which credit rating agency Moody’s recently said has the second-worst pension funding ratio in the country relative to the city’s revenues. 

Providence gets no respect for its own pension disaster

Maybe Mayor Elorza’s strategy of ignoring the pension crisis and looming bankruptcy is working. Maybe Moody’s and S&P already consider Providence to be bankrupt. Ignoring the issue has been a terrific strategy.

But for the sake of clarity to the citizens of RI and the Rhode Island General Assembly, I have inserted Providence relevant statistics in the liability chart where Providence is the 3rd worst in the country at 451% and Providence, using the same inputs that Moody’s is using, has a funding ratio of 17.3%.

Even Providence’s own CAFR ending June 30, 2016, shows a funding ratio of just 25.28 % (worse than Dallas !!!!) see below:

Clearly, Providence is being ignored by everyone.  Elorza, Raimondo, Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and Nick Mattiello and the General Assembly have ignored our Capital City. Those Texans have clearly overreacted to their Pension Status. They should just chill out. 

Michael G. Riley is vice chair at Rhode Island Center for Freedom and Prosperity and is managing member and founder of Coastal Management Group, LLC. Riley has 35 years of experience in the financial industry, having managed divisions of PaineWebber, LETCO, and TD Securities (TD Bank). He has been quoted in Barron’s, Wall Street Transcript, NY Post, and various other print media and also appeared on NBC News, Yahoo TV, and CNBC. 

Timeline - Rhode Island Pension Reform

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