GoLocalProv/Harvard’s Della Volpe Poll: Raimondo Has Modest Lead Over Fung, Trillo Big Factor
GoLocalProv
GoLocalProv/Harvard’s Della Volpe Poll: Raimondo Has Modest Lead Over Fung, Trillo Big Factor
The poll conducted with 502 registered Rhode Island voters between October 5 – October 9, 2018, finds Raimondo with 40 percent of the vote, Fung with 32 percent, and Trillo with 17 percent.
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The combination of Fung and Trillo’s vote represents nearly 50 percent of the Rhode Island vote.
“Since our last poll in June, Raimondo has seen a 2 percent improvement and Fung has lost 6 percent. People seem to be getting more comfortable with Raimondo and Trillo is a difficult factor for Fung," said Della Volpe.
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Della Volpe said that many Rhode Islanders believe the state is doing better than in June and may make Rhode Islanders more comfortable with Raimondo.
Fung has lost substantial support with independents.
The poll explored how Rhode Islanders ranked each of the candidates against critical issues like education, taxes and healthcare.
Raimondo is perceived to be significantly better on issues like education and healthcare.
Reaction by the Candidates
"Polls go up. Polls go down. Governor Raimondo is bringing real change to Rhode Island and is focused on earning the support and votes of Rhode Islanders. Over the last four years, the state has added 15,000+ jobs, unemployment is the lowest it’s been in nearly 20 years, we have the nation’s 17th best economy, we’ve raised the minimum wage, and made record investments in K-12 education. Allan Fung and Joe Trillo root against Rhode Island and will undo all of that progress," said Mike Raia of the Raimondo campaign.
Fung is believed to be stronger — only moderately — on the issues of taxes.
“This poll is more in line with the internal polling of my campaign, which has us much higher,” said Trillo.
“While I see my path to victory through the math, I know this still understates my support,” said Trillo.
“I knew when I got into this race, I was going up against two candidates who had name recognition of 95% to 99%. While I am still building mine, I am hoping that my message of the issues that Rhode Islanders care about will be heard in the next few weeks and I am confident that I can win this election,” he added.
“I am continuing to reach more and more voters and as they hear my independent platform and record, I hope to continue eating into my opponent's numbers," added Trillo
Negatives -- Raimondo still has high negatives. For Raimondo -- 45 percent of Rhode Islanders are "unlikely" and will "never" vote for her.
Fung's negatives are similar to Raimondo's as 49 percent say they are "unlikely" or will "never" vote for him.
Said Trillo, “Analysis of this poll reveals that I have support from a cross-section of society, looking for change in how state government is run. Fung and Raimondo are incompetent, and everyone knows it. Rhode Islanders are looking for the real deal, straight talk and no B.S.”
"This poll says it loud and clear, Rhode Island does not want Gina Raimondo, and her corrupt pay to play politics, around for another four years. A vote for anyone else besides Mayor Fung gets you four more years of her incompetence and corruption," said Andrew Augustus of the Fung campaign.
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Correction: An earlier version said Raimondo's negatives were higher.
GoLocal Statewide Poll - FULL RESULTS, Conducted by Harvard's Della Volpe Oct. 2018
Are you registered to vote in Rhode Island?
Yes.: 100%
What is your gender
Male.: 45%
Female: 55%
Where do you live?
Metro Providence: 28%
West Bay: 27%
Blackstone Valley: 22%
East Bay: 13%
South County: 10%
Could you please indicate your age?
18-24: 7%
25-34: 16%
35-44: 16%
45-54: 20%
55-64: 17%
65+: 25%
This question is about the total income of YOUR HOUSEHOLD for the PAST 12 MONTHS. Please include your income PLUS the income of all members living in your household (including cohabiting partners and armed forces members living at home).
50,000 or less: 32%
More $50,000 but less than $75,000: 18%
More $75,000 but less than $100,000: 16%
More $100,000 but less than $150,000: 14%
$150,000 or more: 11%
Don't know/Refused: 10%
What was the last grade you completed in school?
0-11: 1%
High school grad: 17%
Technical/Vocational school: 4%
Some college: 26%
College grad: 32%
Graduate degree: 21%
What particular ethnic group or nationality - such as English, French, Italian, Irish, Latino, Jewish, African American, and so forth - do you consider yourself a part of or feel closest to?
White, Non-Hispanic: 80%
Black or African-American: 7%
Latino or Hispanic: 6%
Other: 8%
Which of the following best describes your current employment status?
Employed full-time: 45%
Employed part-time: 10%
Self-employed: 6%
Not employed / Homemaker: 6%
Not employed: 28%
Student: 4%
Which one of these best describes your religious preference or spiritual outlook?
Catholic: 43%
Protestant:10%
Fundamentalist/Evangelical Christian: 4%
Jewish: 3%
Muslim: 1%
LDS/Mormon: *
Another religion: 3%
Atheist: 7%
Secular humanist: 2%
No religious preference: 21%
Not sure: 5%
When it comes to voting, do you consider yourself to be affiliated with the Democratic Party, the Republican Party, Moderate, or Unaffiliated with a major party?
Democrat: 38%
Republican: 15%
Moderate: 6%
Unaffiliated: 39%
Don't know/Refused: 3%
In November, there will be a statewide general election for Governor and many other state offices. How likely is it that you will vote in this election? Will you definitely be voting, will you probably be voting, are you 50-50...
Definitely be voting: 86%
Probably be voting: 14%
Did you vote in the 2014 midterm elections?
Yes: 80%
No: 10%
I don't remember: 9%
Did you vote in the 2016 general election for president?
Yes: 89%
No: 8%
I don't remember: 1%
I was not eligible: 2%
For whom did you vote?
Hillary Clinton: 48%
Donald Trump: 36%
Someone else: 14%
I do not remember: 2%
What would you say is the number one problem facing Rhode Island that you would like the Governor to address? [Open-Ended Response]
Jobs and economy: 21%
Taxes: 20%
Roads: 11%
Education: 8%
State budget: 6%
Corruption/Public integrity: 5%
Healthcare: 4%
Immigration: 4%
Drugs and Opioids: 3%
Entitlements: 3%
Housing: 2%
Governor: 2%
Homelessness:1%
Don’t Know: 7%
Other: 5%
In general, would you say things in Rhode Island are headed in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track?
Right track: 19%
Wrong track: 38%
Mixed: 43%
Which of the following comes closest to your view regarding each of the following candidates for governor of Rhode Island? [RANDOMIZED]
Gina Raimondo, a Democrat
I am sure to vote for her: 18%
There is a good chance I will vote for her: 20%
It is possible that I vote for her: 17%
It is unlikely that I will vote for her: 13%
I will never vote for her: 32%
Which of the following comes closest to your view regarding each of the following candidates for governor of Rhode Island? [RANDOMIZED]
Allan Fung, a Republican
I am sure to vote for him: 15%
There is a good chance I will vote for him: 13%
It is possible that I vote for him: 23%
It is unlikely that I will vote for him: 20%
I will never vote for him: 29%
Which of the following comes closest to your view regarding each of the following candidates for governor of Rhode Island? [RANDOMIZED]
Joe Trillo, an Independent
I am sure to vote for him: 3%
There is a good chance I will vote for him: 6%
It is possible that I vote for him: 31%
It is unlikely that I will vote for him: 30%
I will never vote for him: 30%
Next is a series of qualities and attributes that candidates for Governor could possess. Which candidate for Governor does each attribute apply to most? [RANDOMIZED]
Has a vision for the state.
Allan Fung: 25%
Gina Raimondo: 31%
Joe Trillo: 11%
None: 12%
Don't know: 22%
Next is a series of qualities and attributes that candidates for Governor could possess. Which candidate for Governor does each attribute apply to most? [RANDOMIZED]
Will ensure that we have high-quality affordable health care.
Allan Fung: 13%
Gina Raimondo: 28%
Joe Trillo: 11%
None: 17%
Don't know: 31%
Next is a series of qualities and attributes that candidates for Governor could possess. Which candidate for Governor does each attribute apply to most? [RANDOMIZED]
Cares about people like me.
Allan Fung: 23%
Gina Raimondo: 25%
Joe Trillo: 14%
None: 19%
Don't know: 19%
Next is a series of qualities and attributes that candidates for Governor could possess. Which candidate for Governor does each attribute apply to most? [RANDOMIZED]
Will make government more accountable to the people.
Allan Fung: 21%
Gina Raimondo: 24%
Joe Trillo: 12%
None: 19%
Don't know: 24%
Next is a series of qualities and attributes that candidates for Governor could possess. Which candidate for Governor does each attribute apply to most? [RANDOMIZED]
Will stand up to special interests.
Allan Fung: 17%
Gina Raimondo: 21%
Joe Trillo: 17%
None: 19%
Don't know: 25%
Next is a series of qualities and attributes that candidates for Governor could possess. Which candidate for Governor does each attribute apply to most? [RANDOMIZED]
Is committed to improving education in public schools.
Allan Fung: 21%
Gina Raimondo: 43%
Joe Trillo: 6%
None: 9%
Don't know: 21%
Next is a series of qualities and attributes that candidates for Governor could possess. Which candidate for Governor does each attribute apply to most? [RANDOMIZED]
Is a fighter for the middle class.
Allan Fung: 22%
Gina Raimondo: 27%
Joe Trillo: 15%
None: 16%
Don't know: 19%
Next is a series of qualities and attributes that candidates for Governor could possess. Which candidate for Governor does each attribute apply to most? [RANDOMIZED]
Is honest and trustworthy.
Allan Fung: 19%
Gina Raimondo: 25%
Joe Trillo: 9%
None: 23%
Don't know: 25%
Next is a series of qualities and attributes that candidates for Governor could possess. Which candidate for Governor does each attribute apply to most? [RANDOMIZED]
Will hold the line on taxes.
Allan Fung: 24%
Gina Raimondo: 19%
Joe Trillo: 13%
None: 19%
Don't know: 25%
Next is a series of qualities and attributes that candidates for Governor could possess. Which candidate for Governor does each attribute apply to most? [RANDOMIZED]
Is fiscally responsible.
Allan Fung: 28%
Gina Raimondo: 29%
Joe Trillo: 10%
None: 12%
Don't know: 21%
Next is a series of qualities and attributes that candidates for Governor could possess. Which candidate for Governor does each attribute apply to most? [RANDOMIZED]
Brings fresh ideas and perspectives.
Allan Fung: 23%
Gina Raimondo: 25%
Joe Trillo: 15%
None: 17%
Don't know: 19%
If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were: [ROTATE] Democrat Gina Raimondo, Republican Allan Fung and Independent Joe Trillo, for whom would you vote?
Gina Raimondo, a Democrat: 40%
Allan Fung, a Republican: 32%
Joe Trillo, an Independent: 17%
Don't know: 11%
Attorney generals in several states have begun investigating sexual abuse by Roman Catholic clergy, opening investigations and issuing subpoenas for documents.
Do you favor or oppose the Rhode Island Attorney General opening an investigation into the Archdiocese of Providence on issues related to possible sexual abuse of children?
Net: Support: 89%
Strongly Support: 61%
Somewhat Support: 27%
Net: Oppose: 7%
Somewhat Oppose: 5%
Strongly Oppose: 3%
Don't Know 4%
If the election for the U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were: [ROTATE] Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse and Republican Robert Flanders, for whom would you vote?
Sheldon Whitehouse, a Democrat: 56%
Robert Flanders, a Republican: 32%
Don't know 12%
Recently, it was announced that state officials approved a fast-track regulatory review of Massachusetts based Partners HealthCare’s proposed takeover of Care New England, Rhode Island’s second-largest hospital system, and operator Women & Infants, Butler and Kent Hospitals. [RANDOMIZED]
Do you believe the quality of care for Rhode Islanders will:
Improve: 21%
Worsen: 19%
Stay about the same: 44%
Don't know: 16%
Recently, it was announced that state officials approved a fast-track regulatory review of Massachusetts based Partners HealthCare’s proposed takeover of Care New England, Rhode Island’s second-largest hospital system, and operator Women & Infants, Butler and Kent Hospitals. [RANDOMIZED]
Do you believe the number of jobs available to Rhode Islanders will:
Increase: 22%
Decrease: 27%
Stay about the same: 38%
Don't know 13%
The City of Providence and the state of Rhode Island are considering a proposal by New York
developer Jason Fane to build a 46-story luxury residence tower in Providence, next to a public
riverfront park. The developer will invest $250 to $300 million of his own funds. The project is
called the Hope Point Tower, it would be 170-feet taller than the Superman building and would
require waiving height restrictions and the use of state tax credits.
Net: Favor: 39%
Strongly favor: 15%
Somewhat favor: 23%
Net: Oppose: 52%
Somewhat oppose: 26%
Strongly oppose: 26%
Don't know:10%
Earlier this year, legislation was filed in the General Assembly that would require that all Rhode Island public schools have a school resource officer on the premises -- if a school has over 1,200 students -- two school resource officers would need to be present.
Net: Support: 68%
Strongly Support: 37%
Somewhat Support: 32%
Net: Oppose: 25%
Somewhat Oppose: 14%
Strongly Oppose: 10%
Don't Know: 7%
Do you support or oppose expanding Rhode Island’s free college tuition program at the
Community College of Rhode Island to the state’s two four-year colleges so that the last two
years of tuition at Rhode Island College and URI would be free for those recent high school
graduates, who are in a solid academic standing, and on track to graduate in four years? It is estimated that the cost of the program would be $35 million.
Net: Support: 55%
Strongly Support: 29%
Somewhat Support: 25%
Net: Oppose: 40%
Somewhat Oppose: 17%
Strongly Oppose: 24%
Don't Know: 5%
Do you support or oppose an Educational Bill of Rights for students and parents in Rhode Island that includes:
1) The right to be taught by effective teachers.
2) The right not to be taught by teachers who, after due process evaluation, fail to meet standards established by state and local education officials.
3) The right to appropriate academic materials and resources.
4) The right to safe, clean and environmental-friendly school facilities.
5) The right to emotionally supportive schools that do not tolerate harassment, discrimination or abuse.
6) The right to attend a school where funding is based on student need with the goal of providing
access to adequate educational opportunities.
7) The right to a pathway out of a failing school.
8) The right to a fair, accurate and transparent assessment system that measures student
performance and need.
9) The right of parents to current and reliable information about their child’s progress and performance.
Net: Support: 84%
Strongly Support: 51%
Somewhat Support: 33%
Net: Oppose: 9%
Somewhat Oppose: 7%
Strongly Oppose: 2%
Don't Know: 7%
Recently, Governor Gina Raimondo has been criticized for accepting $12,500 in campaign and
PAC contributions from members of the Sackler family. Owners of Purdue Pharma, the Sackler
family has been profiled in multiple national news outlets for fueling the US opioid addiction epidemic, through its painkiller OxyContin.
The Financial Times has also reported that the family also owns Rhodes Pharma, Rhode Island-
based drug maker that is among the largest producers of off-patent generic opioids in the US.
If Governor Gina Raimondo asked you for advice on this – would you suggest that she …
Return the money: 71%
Keep the money: 15%
Don't know: 14%
In terms of the number of women who face sexual harassment in the workplace – would you say that sexual harassment in Rhode Island is a …
Major problem: 35%
Minor problem: 36%
Not a problem 7%
Don't know 22%
Which party do you believe is most responsible for the Providence school bus strike?
Teamsters Local 251: 31%
The bus company: 21%
Mayor Jorge Elorza: 19%
Don't know: 29%
