Riley: Fake News? Whatever

Michael G. Riley, GoLocalProv MINDSETTER™

Riley: Fake News? Whatever

Fake news? I know we are all bombarded by it on both sides of the aisle in a national sense, but it’s also been going on for a long time at the RI Governor's and Treasurer's offices as well as new outlets.

I have been closely following pension and budget issues and the reporters and government issued spin on what should be pure numbers and statistics. "Garbage in, garbage out,” they say in the computer world when a computer is fed bad data. 

On the other hand, does anyone care whether Providence owes $1 billion or $2 billion? Probably not. The Mayor just wants to be Mayor and the Governor just wants to be whatever plans she has for 2018 with Michael Bloomberg. Neither elected leader has any intention of dealing with municipal pension issues in Providence.

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Now, with the very real threat of perpetual union collective bargaining agreements, all the plans and studies produced over the last three years by Elorza to solve Providence structural deficits are useless. Each plan relied on “grand” bargains and bargaining givebacks. Once complete fantasy plans both the PFM 5-year plan (may 2015) and National Resource Network 10-year (April 2016) plan lie dormant and factually dead. The plans are completely useless without union negotiations.

Denial now gone, Providence enters slide

And so, like Puerto Rico, financially knowledgeable folks are all resigned to the fact that Providence will go bust soon. Sadly, now with the unions protected and bond holders protected, by a 2011 law, the only place to go is the taxpayer.

Both Providence and State taxpayers will pay a heavy charge very soon that will blow away any taxpayer savings from the “car tax”. People in Burrillville or Compton will be paying for the retirements of Johnston and Providence Firefighters and Police. There is no question that a perpetual contract law would be the nail in the coffin for Rhode Island taxpayers.

As for the Pension Liability, this is from the Providence CAFR June 30 2016 and is 1 year old:

Net Pension Liability    

The components of the net pension liability of the Retirement System at June 30, 2016 were as follows: (in thousands)

Total pension liability $1,318,341

Plan fiduciary net position (333,287)

Net Pension Liability $985,054

Plan fiduciary net position as a percentage of the total pension liability 25.28%.

Editor's Note:  A previous version incorrectly identified a 2015 WPRI.com article as being from 2017. The 2015 information was from that year. 

Michael G. Riley is vice chair at Rhode Island Center for Freedom and Prosperity and is managing member and founder of Coastal Management Group, LLC. Riley has 35 years of experience in the financial industry, having managed divisions of PaineWebber, LETCO, and TD Securities (TD Bank). He has been quoted in Barron’s, Wall Street Transcript, NY Post, and various other print media and also appeared on NBC News, Yahoo TV, and CNBC. 

Timeline - Rhode Island Pension Reform

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