Riley: Hey Hartford, Why Not Just Laugh at Bankruptcy, Like Elorza

Michael G. Riley, GoLocalProv MINDSETTER™

Riley: Hey Hartford, Why Not Just Laugh at Bankruptcy, Like Elorza

Hartford, CT.
Last week, Hartford Connecticut Mayor Luke Bronin issued a warning to state officials that the capital city wouldn’t be able to pay all of its bills within 60 days. Hartford officials said it would file for Chapter 9 bankruptcy at that point - unless the state legislature passes a budget that gives the city more funding or otherwise provides it with more cash.

Sound like Extortion to You?

Me too.

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But, imagine if Providence had to make the same plea - how would Rhode Island taxpayers fare? Compared to Detroit or Connecticut, RI taxpayers have much less protection or standing. (This Op-Ed in the Hartford Courant is a must read.)

If a Hartford Chapter 9 filing takes place, it will be a very different outcome in Connecticut from what Governor Raimondo and current Rhode Island law has in store for taxpayers in Rhode Island.

In Connecticut, Chapter 9 is still the path and ultimately the trustee and judge hold hearings to determine if the plan is "fair and equitable." Not all stakeholders are required to be treated the same. In Detroit, for example, pensioners had a 6 percent loss in benefit value; current employees lost 12 percent and bondholders had a “haircut” in excess of 30 percent. The court can only reject the plan or urge changes. It cannot substitute its judgment for the elected body.

In Rhode Island our receivership law of 2010 will be the operating document for Providence bankruptcy. Providence is worse off than Hartford and no one other than Jorge Elorza believes it can avoid bankruptcy.

What Would Be in Store For RI

In 2010, the Rhode Island state legislature, seeing the inevitability of a Central Falls bankruptcy, passed a law that put a statutory lien on the city’s property taxes, earmarking that revenue toward the city’s bondholders in the event of a Chapter 9 filing.

In Rhode Island, the statutory lien law changed the status of Central Falls’ general obligation bonds from unsecured to secured, ensuring that bondholders would be repaid in full. So bondholders are protected and that would leave very few stakeholders to share the burden of bankruptcy in Providence.

First up [are] the employees' benefits, which could be altered through negotiation or even by force once Providence is in receivership.

Next up are the taxpayers -- however it's not only Providence but ALL state taxpayers who will need to bail out Providence. The major difference between CT and Detroit is that the bondholder once again will walk away unscathed as in 38 Studios but taxpayers will get slammed with nearly all the costs of Providence bail out. We "the taxpayers" will all end up paying for the retirements of police, fire and some municipal employees in Providence. The city of Providence has nearly $1.5 billion in net pension liability and $1 billion in unfunded OPEB.

Will Governor Raimondo pledge not to bail out Providence?  Or will she advocate for a law to stop protecting bondholders?

As Hartford flirts with bankruptcy and Jorge Elorza mocks the thought of it, I thought I would show you the current status of how each city is funding their pension plan. If Elorza and Providence were so strong economically, how does he explain starving the pension plan? Is he anti-retiree & municipal worker?

Or is he lying about city finances?

Michael G. Riley is vice chair at Rhode Island Center for Freedom and Prosperity and is managing member and founder of Coastal Management Group, LLC. Riley has 35 years of experience in the financial industry, having managed divisions of PaineWebber, LETCO, and TD Securities (TD Bank). He has been quoted in Barron’s, Wall Street Transcript, NY Post, and various other print media and also appeared on NBC News, Yahoo TV, and CNBC. 

Timeline - Rhode Island Pension Reform

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